Evidence-based projections and benchmarks for SDG indicator 4.1.1

The main focus of this report is a model, implemented in Excel, which combines a dataset of normalised percentage proficient statistics, produced previously for the UNESCO Institute for Statistics (UIS), and demographic data, to produce projections of proficiency among children. These projections are intended to inform global and national target-setting, and the broader discussion on educational development. Specifically, the projections are intended to inform empirically discussions relating to Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator 4.1.1, which can be considered a set of 18 indicators when all dimensions relating to school level, subject and sex are considered.